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Game Thread [2022-23] Ohio State (Big Ten/ACC Challenge)

What's your prediction?


  • Total voters
    17
  • Poll closed .

SeanMayTriedToEatMe

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Wednesday, November 30, 7:15pm ET, ESPN
Cameron Indoor Stadium

The disgraced Ohio State University visits Duke, as Duke's audition for a spot in the Big Ten Conference continues. Here is Ohio State's lineup:

PG Bruce Thornton, 6-2 FR, #48 247 composite ranking
Good start to his career. Knows his role, low usage (16%), high efficiency (128), doesn't take many bad shots. 9/19 3PT, 10/10 FT suggests he's a good-to-great shooter. High turnover rate (21%) with a relatively low assist rate (16%) suggests he's still getting accustomed to college. Came in with a strong defensive reputation and has lived up to it so far.

SG Sean McNeil, 6-4 SR, grad transfer from West Virginia, former JUCO
Another low usage, high efficiency shooter. 37% 3PT, 87% FT career. More one-dimensional than Thornton, doesn't do much other than shoot. Not a good defender.

SF Justice Sueing (phenomenal name), 6-6 SR, #171
6th year senior, transferred from Cal the old-fashioned way, medical redshirt last season. Through the first 6 games this season, has assumed ownership over the offense, with 31% usage, 112 ORtg. Has started cold from 3 (3/21) but good as expected from the line (20/24). Assuming his bad 3PT shooting has been noise and he'll finish around his 36% mark as a junior, he's on track to be in the Big Ten First Team conversation.

PF Isaac Likekele, 6-5 SR, #156
Grad transfer from Oklahoma State, with a history of strong individual defense. Doesn't add much else. Has been a poor offensive player his entire career. Limited range, very bad from the line, very bad from 2, turnover prone, seems to exist purely for his defense. Gets the most playing time on the team, so I have to assume he's Shane Battier in terms of impacting winning.

C Zed Key, 6-8 JR, #155
Exploding this season. Suddenly has transformed from a nondescript garbage man into a monster. 10.3 BPM, 23% usage, 137 ORtg, 18% OReb, 22% DReb, 49% FT Rate, 70% 2PT, 64% FT, 3/8 3PT. He never attempted a 3 before this season. Block rate is down to 2.9% after 4.7% last season, but the benefit is fewer fouls; 3.7 fouls committed per 40 minutes is down significantly from 4.8 last season. He's defending smarter. This is the model for what every bad-to-mediocre college big man should strive for in their development - an earlier Zoubeking.

6th Brice Sensabaugh, 6-6 FR, #63
Has started his career on fire. He plays about half the game and is the focal point on offense when he's in. Imagine Trevor Keels' body with an elite jumpshot. Highest BPM on the team at 13.9, 33% usage, 128 ORtg, 18% DReb, low turnover rate (13%), nice FT Rate (44%), shooting 46% from 3 on high volume, 81% from the line, 61% from midrange.

Duke will probably be favored. Seems laughable.
 
Duke is favored by 6 points. This is not aligned with Sagarin, which would have Duke as a 3.5-point favorite, and it is even further off from Kenpom. Duke win probability is 68-69% based on the tightest Vegas lines.
 
BTW, I have never seen the camera angle above the rim they used tonight on FTs. I thought every one was way off to the right. They are usually right above. Not sure what was going on.
Awful viewing experience. Who thought that was a good idea???
 
@childress22 were you tracking the +/- of the lineups last night? We finally got a decent sized sample of small ball and Mitchell at the 4 on account of the four fouls picked up by Flip and Lively. Tbh I don't think the big or small lineup outperformed one or the other in a significant manner, and it might have been when Lively was saddled on the bench that OSU made the run to cut it to 5. Which is odd because I thought this was Lively's best game by far, on both ends of the floor
 
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