Inveigle
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Game: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Duke Blue Devils
Date: Saturday, November 26, 2022
Location: Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, NC
TV: ACCN
Odds/Point Spread: Blue Devils (+3.5)
Total/Over-Under: 68
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons step onto the field holding a record of 7-4 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Demon Deacons went up against the Syracuse Orange and went home with a win by a final score of 45-35. Christian Turner was the rushing leader for the Demon Deacons with 16 attempts for 69 yds (4.3 yards per carry). Sam Hartman went 30/43 with 331 yds passing and 4 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 165.1 and ended the game without throwing a pick. In the running game, the Demon Deacons gave up 120 yards on 29 tries, which averages out to 4.1 yds per run allowed. Wake Forest gave up 18 pass completions on 32 attempts for 357 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.3%. When all was said and done, they ran 95 plays which totaled 535 yds. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons ran the football 52 different times and accounted for 204 yds, which came out to an average of 3.9 yards per attempt.
The Demon Deacons have earned 4,912 total yards this season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Wake Forest has earned 37 touchdowns via the pass and 15 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 17 times. Wake Forest has 282 1st downs, and they have committed 53 infractions for 441 yds. As a team they're averaging 134.9 yards via the ground game ranking them 88th in Division 1. Regarding putting points on the board, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons are sitting at 37.4 PPG.
The Demon Deacons are ranked 94th in D-1 concerning the opposition scoring, conceding 28.8 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per rushing attempt and 139.5 rushing yards per game for the season. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 1,535 rushing yards through 11 games. Concerning yards via the pass, the Demon Deacons are allowing 2,885 yards which has them ranked 110th in the nation. They have conceded 262.3 yards per contest via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 58.9%. Over the course of this year, they are conceding 401.8 yards per contest which has them ranked 88th in the nation. They have given up 24 touchdowns through the air and 13 touchdowns pounding the rock.
The Blue Devils head into this matchup 7-4 for this season. In their last game, the Blue Devils went home defeated by a final of 28-26 when they faced the Pittsburgh Panthers. Riley Leonard (3 TDs) ended the contest with 290 yards on 24/45 passing while his QB rating was 129.5. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.4. Jordan Waters ran the ball 7 times for 35 yds, ending the game with 5.0 yards per carry for Duke. The Blue Devils finished with a total of 353 yds on 72 plays (4.9 yards per play). Duke rushed for 2.3 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 63 yards on 27 attempts. Duke conceded 33 rushing attempts for 120 yards (3.6 yards per carry). The Blue Devils passing defense allowed a completion rate of 46.9%, relinquishing 190 yards on 15 out of 32 through the air.
Concerning the points being put on the board, the Blue Devils rank 35th in the country maintaining an average of 33.0 points per game. For the season to this point, the Blue Devils have racked up 2,446 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 222.4 passing yards per outing, ranking them 76th in D-1. The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 413.4 yards/game, ranking them 50th in Division 1. The Duke offense has totaled 607 yds of penalties on 62 infractions, which has them ranked 81st in college football in terms of helping out the opposition.
The Blue Devils are conceding 22.1 points per game, which puts them 34th in the nation. Duke has allowed a total of 1,348 yards rushing (122.5 yards per contest) in addition to 7 touchdowns on the ground for the year. Over the course of the season, they have given up 243 points in total. They have surrendered 22 touchdowns through the air in addition to 254.5 yards/outing, which has them in 103rd in college football. The Blue Devils defense has taken the field for 746 plays, ranking them 55th in college football.
Duke head coach Mike Elko and Wake Forest head coach Dave Clawson spent 12 seasons together spread between Fordham (2002-03), Richmond (2004-05), Bowling Green (2009-13), and Wake Forest (2014-16). Duke's safeties coach Lyle Hemphill also spent time on Clawson's staff at Wake Forest, serving as the defensive coordinator (2019-21) and safeties coach (2017-21).
These two programs are connected in many ways. But the team that has established continuity and a Top 25 rank during the season is Wake Forest. Duke is headed in the right direction under Mike Elko. But Duke's program just isn't there yet despite a pretty good season.
PREDICTION:
Wake Forest 38
Duke 30
