IMO, one of the problems with hiring a head coach at Duke is that not a lot of coaches are going to take a risk to come to a school where it has been historically (in the last 25 years) difficult to win. You have to catch lightning in a bottle with an up-and-coming FBS or non-P5 coach, like Chadwell, with the understanding that, if successful, you are going to be looking for a new coach in 2-3 years. Or, you look for another guy like Cut that is willing to make an initial long-term commitment, but will have his own limitations.
Guys like Dave Clawson are few and far between, most are going to look at Duke to be a stepping stone to a larger program if Duke doesn't ruin their spirit and coaching philosophy. But is Duke willing to go with the proven up-and-coming coach? History indicates that they won't because it appears they value stability, even tolerating the past four years, over winning and having to get a new HC three or four years into his tenure.
Don't get me wrong, I'm very appreciative of what Cut was able to do in his time here. He pushed for the stadium renovation, improved our facilities, got us some national press, and caught lightning in a bottle for a few seasons getting us into the top 25 for the first time in forever. However, the past few seasons have been embarrassing and we now run the risk of undoing everything that has been done since he arrived. I think Kevin White has a tough road ahead of him as he'll need to scour lower divisions to find a young guy like Chadwell and give him the reigns for a couple of years. Unfortunately, I think that, if they do move on from Cut, they will go with another older coach that may get us 6 wins a year for a couple of years and then fade away until there's another push to fire him.