Last thing I'll say is that when I look at guys who have succeeded in the NBA over the last 3-4 years, I see a bunch of players who were insanely efficient/dominant at the college or international levels. I think the trap NBA scouts fall into is overvaluing high school scouting. High school scouting is the reason guys like Reddish get drafted in the lottery and guys like Baldwin and Bates still get drafted at all.
Because high school stats are hard to come by, high school scouting tends to ignore actual production. Once players get to college or international play, stats become widely available. If NBA scouts threw out all priors and just watched players at the college/international levels, I think they'd make fewer mistakes.
When we look at guys like Haliburton, Shai, Vassell, Bane, JJJ, Holmgren, etc. we see players whose shooting indicators and efficiency stats were off the charts. You didn't have to see Haliburton's "feel" to believe in him. You literally just had to look at his size combined with his shooting and efficiency indicators at the college level.
Because high school stats are hard to come by, high school scouting tends to ignore actual production. Once players get to college or international play, stats become widely available. If NBA scouts threw out all priors and just watched players at the college/international levels, I think they'd make fewer mistakes.
When we look at guys like Haliburton, Shai, Vassell, Bane, JJJ, Holmgren, etc. we see players whose shooting indicators and efficiency stats were off the charts. You didn't have to see Haliburton's "feel" to believe in him. You literally just had to look at his size combined with his shooting and efficiency indicators at the college level.