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Pomeroy

7/7/20

All the OR distorted my interpretations of the number of possessions. I figured the D killed. Kenny predicted 79-72 and we won 79-64. Turns out the game only had 59 possessions.
 
Or by "went down" do you mean improved? I would think holding State to eight points fewer than expected would help us, not hurt us.
 
Yeah, all those long possessions on both ends meant that this was the slowest game we've played all year at 59 possessions; the win at Miami was 60.
 
Conversely, it was our 4th best raw efficiency at 134.0, and third-best adjusted officiency (Torvik) at 139.2. We've broken 130 adjusted in 4 of the last 5 games (all except Louisville).
 
Surprised not to see this bumped. We're up to 7/13 splits, Pomeroy does like to weigh these tourney results heavily, lol.

Whatever Scheyer might else be, him -- or at least someone he's hired -- is proving to be at minimum a defensive guru. Our metrics there are *almost* as good as the Lively anchored team, and now he's doing it without any surefire NBA talent. There's no way I see K putting out a top 50 rated defense with this squad, let alone this product. And now the offense has come along which was lacking last year.

Ken has us giving more points to State than the books, by an entire possession
 



FT% being among the best predictors for 3pt% isn’t too surprising due to the bigger sample size, but 3pt attempt rate being another good predictor is nice to know. Makes sense that someone would have a much greener light from 3 than from 2 if the team and coaches saw evidence of solid 3pt% in practice, even if not translating to games. Maliq Brown is a blind faith pickup for Duke, with a 10% 3pt attempt rate and 72% FT.
 

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