2018 NCAA Tournament

[SeanMayTriedToEatMe]

This is great, forcing NBA scouts from every team to go to Boise:

 

[SeanMayTriedToEatMe]

 

[SeanMayTriedToEatMe]

 

[SeanMayTriedToEatMe]

Duke a joke to them.

 

[SeanMayTriedToEatMe]

 

[SeanMayTriedToEatMe]

Supporter of pedophile seems extremely confident.

 

[SeanMayTriedToEatMe]

I'm certain the true odds won't match these, as Duke and MSU both being that high is not possible. UNC +1800 is not positive value but getting close.

 

[StopThePumpFakesShav]

Are tip times out for thurs yet? I assume we are either the noon game or like 8pm.

 

[Topher]

plz no noon

 

[Slap the Floor]

I'm not going to even attempt to be SeanMay but I'm just going to share some stats here:

Offensive Rebounds %

#4 Michigan State 35%
#82 Rhode Island 29.9%
#141 Kansas 27.8%
#193 Oklahoma 26.2%
#301 Iona 22%

Defense REB %

#268 Iona- 70.5%
#280- Kansas- 70.8%
#43 Michigan State- 76.6%
#244 Oklahoma- 71.8%
#131 Rhode Island- 74.3%



3pt %

#4 Michigan State 41% (however 32% in last 3 games)
#11 Kansas 40%
#34 Iona 38.8%
#108 Oklahoma 36%
#170 Rhode Island 35%

Turnovers Per Game:

#62 Iona- 11.7
#63 Kansas- 11.7
#199 Michigan State- 13. 2
#218 Oklahoma- 13.4
#17 Rhode Island- 10.6

Forced TO's Per Game:

#103 Iona- 13.7
#162 Kansas- 13.0
#342 Michigan State- 10.0
#144 Oklahoma- 13.2
#10 Rhode Island- 16.0

Opponent Offensive Rebound % Per Game

#286 Iona- 29.5%
#280 Kansas- 29.2%
#43 Michigan State- 23.4%
#244 Oklahoma- 28.2%
#131 Rhode Island- 25.7%

Opponent 3pt %

#208 Iona- 35.5%
#41 Kansas- 32.7%
#83 Michigan State- 33.3%
#238 Oklahoma- 36.1%
#63 Rhode Island- 33.1%

Opponent 2pt %

#239 Iona- 51.4%
#98 Kansas- 48.1%
#1 Michigan State- 38.4%
#157 Oklahoma- 49.5%
#202 Rhode Island- 50.6%

 

[Slap the Floor]

Just based on that above, for what it's worth, Oklahoma is a far better match-up for us than Rhode Island and someone needs to beat Michigan State.

 

[2001Dukechamps]

We're not making it past MSU.

People are strangely overlooking the fact we needed Grayson and Trevon to simultaneously play the best game of their lives to beat them.

Grayson Allen had 37 points(only 1 TO) and Trevon Duval had 17 points, 10 assists(only 3 TOs) and 6 steals.

Having MSU as a 3rd seed is actually just as bad if not worst than having Villanova as 1 seed.

 

[SeanMayTriedToEatMe]

All first game lines (most significant games to Duke fans are bolded):

First Four

No. 11 seed UCLA minus-3 vs. No. 11 seed Saint Bonaventure

No. 11 seed Arizona State pick’em vs. No. 11 seed Syracuse

No. 16 seed Radford minus-3.5 vs. No. 16 seed Long Island-Brooklyn

No. 16 seed Texas Southern minus-5 vs. No. 16 seed North Carolina Central

South Region

No. 1 seed Virginia minus-22.5 vs. No. 16 seed UMBC

No. 9 seed Creighton minus-1.5 vs. No 8 seed Kansas State

No. 5 seed Kentucky minus-5.5 vs. No. 12 seed Davidson

No. 4 seed Arizona minus-8 vs. No. 13 seed Buffalo

No. 6 seed Miami minus-1 vs. No. 11 seed Loyola-Chicago

No. 3 seed Tennessee minus-13.5 vs. No. 14 seed Wright State

No. 7 seed UNR minus-1.5 vs. No. 10 seed Texas

No. 2 seed Cincinnati minus-16 vs. No. 15 seed Georgia State

East Region

No. 8 seed Virginia Tech minus-2 vs. No. 9 seed Alabama

No. 5 seed West Virginia minus-9.5 vs. No. 12 Murray State

No. 4 seed Wichita State minus-12 vs. No. 13 seed Marshall

No. 3 seed Texas Tech minus-12 vs. No. 14 seed Stephen F. Austin

No. 10 seed Butler minus-1 vs. No. 7 seed Arkansas

No. 2 seed Purdue minus-21 vs. No. 15 seed Cal-State Fullerton

Midwest Region

No. 1 seed Kansas minus-15.5 vs. No. 16 seed Penn

No. 8 seed Seton Hall pick’em vs. No. 9 seed NC State

No. 5 seed Clemson minus-4.5 vs. No. 12 seed New Mexico State

No. 4 seed Auburn minus-11 vs. No. 13 seed College Of Charleston

No. 3 seed Michigan State minus-13.5 vs. No. 14 seed Bucknell

No. 7 seed Rhode Island pick’em vs. No. 10 seed Oklahoma

No. 2 seed Duke minus-21 vs. No. 15 seed Iona

West Region

No. 8 seed Missouri minus-1.5 vs. No. 9 seed Florida State

No. 5 seed Ohio State minus-8.5 vs. No. 12 seed South Dakota State

No. 4 seed Gonzaga minus-11.5 vs. No. 13 seed UNC-Greensboro

No. 6 seed Houston minus-3.5 vs. No. 11 seed San Diego State

No. 3 seed Michigan minus-11 vs. No. 14 seed Montana

No. 7 seed Texas A&M minus-4.5 vs. No. 10 seed Providence

No. 2 seed North Carolina minus-17.5 vs. No. 15 seed Lipscomb

 

[burksballer20]

Defense is markedly improved since then though too. And we have Bagley back.

 

[rome8180]

Offense is much much worse than it was then. We'll struggle to score 60 against their defense.

 

[Devilsforlife]

We're not making it past MSU.

People are strangely overlooking the fact we needed Grayson and Trevon to simultaneously play the best game of their lives to beat them.

Grayson Allen had 37 points(only 1 TO) and Trevon Duval had 17 points, 10 assists(only 3 TOs) and 6 steals.

We also were without Bagley for 32 minutes of that game.

 

[Slap the Floor]

We're not making it past MSU.

People are strangely overlooking the fact we needed Grayson and Trevon to simultaneously play the best game of their lives to beat them.

Grayson Allen had 37 points(only 1 TO) and Trevon Duval had 17 points, 10 assists(only 3 TOs) and 6 steals.

Yeah I really don't see how we are going to beat Michigan State. We're going to need someone else to do it for us. They will also have a full 4-5 days to prepare for our zone. The first time we played them we sprung it on and them and surprised them, and I'd be shocked if they even prepped for the zone.

 

[dukeboy911]

21 pt favorites round 1. Ya zero excuse for this to be a game.

 

[physicsfactor]

SIAP, don’t forget that Oklahoma has an ex-NBA coach who will hack-A late in games. Duke would need to be up significantly late vs OU, or Duval and Bagley will get embarrassed.

 

[SeanMayTriedToEatMe]

Chances of Duke vs. MSU being a game that happens are ~60%.