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Saturday, December 2, 2:15pm, The CW
McCamish Pavilion, Atlanta, GA
Kenpom: #135 overall, #150 offense, #144 defense
Georgia Tech is awful at making the ball go through the hoop. They are nearly outside the top 300 in each of 2PT%, 3PT% and FT%. Defensively, they are passive, allowing lots of 3s and not generating many turnovers. Duke's sharpshooters should be able to bomb away in this one.
The key player offensively is Miles Kelly, a 6-6 junior wing who has stepped up as a massive chucker this season, and the main reason GT shoots so poorly as a team. However, he's due for some positive regression against Duke - he's shooting 28% from 3 this season, compared with 38% last season, and he's similarly 68% from the line after 93% last season. At 31% usage, if Kelly finds all of his regression in this game, Duke may not have any chance to win.