Welcome!

By registering with us, you'll be able to discuss, share and private message with other members of our community.

SignUp Now!

Pomeroy

Hmm clever way for KenPom to look superior at the end of the season. Of course the team that's hot and wins 5 straight games will look good when those are weighted the most versus other top teams.
 
God, that's moronic.

Anyway, I am wondering what our defensive rating would be if you took out VT. I realize that's kind of bullshit to say, because you shouldn't just get to ignore a terrible performance, but I do feel like there was a sea change after Miami where K showed the willingness to play more than one defense game to game and within games. And the VT game was the big ugly exception. First half UNC was pretty bad too, but at least they're actually good.

Beginning MLK weekend, where we played L'Ville, through now, I feel like our defense has been good enough to win a championship so long as it's backed by a top 5 offense.
 
You could take out both the first UNC game and VT after it, with Okafor's injury as an excuse. It was severe enough for him to miss a game in between, yet he was playing on it for almost the entire UNC game. Might have carried over into VT.

I wouldn't go with it, but you could reason it out that way to make the defense look better.
 
I don't think that's fair even with that justification, given that Okafor hurt himself very late in the first half, and that's the half where we were most terrible on defense.

I think I'm more OK though taking out VT, since (i) Okafor was hurt, (ii) K decided he should play like 44/45 minutes, and (iii) we probably decided we didnt give a fuck about that game.
 
Since Miami game, I have GT and FSU being bad defensive games and VT being a disaster, just from eyeing the possessions and final scores. They have done pretty well.
 
If that game had happened in the start of the season, i'm guessing our D rating would be in the low 30s by now. That game was defensively as atrocious as Vermont IIRC, and we were hovering around 90 on D after it. Considering we've made a push to 45 in that span, I guess it reasons we've probably played somewhere in the 25-35 level since that game, since we're talking about 7 games since then versus 28 games of data before. No idea if that game was just a super anomaly or systematically atrocious. Probably a combination of both. that VT game won't wash out until next season.

I admit i'm happy to see that the vegas lines for us are now consistently a few points higher than what we're getting from KP. They were almost identical for most of the season, but seem to be diverging in our favor. Since I assume that Casinos with millions/billions at their disposal to develop top notch propitiatory analytics for what has become a multi-billion dollar gambling tournament, are going to be more accurate than a good/great but not perfect algorithm developed by just one man, I tend to put more stock into how vegas is assessing us.
 
I think Utah's mid February/March onward has generally not been great. That's influencing things. Man, looking at their KP profile shows how bad half of the Pac 12 is. Half the 12 team conference is sub 90 KP.
 
D up to 27th ranked.

Would have been top 20 for sure if not for the shitfest to end the game.


Still, like how we're trending.
 
Duke's team page is currently showing individual stats for the three tournament games. That's pretty neat.
 
physicsfactor said:
Duke's team page is currently showing individual stats for the three tournament games. That's pretty neat.
Click to expand...
Can't find it
 
Jahlil is 17.9%. Better than I would have thought. It quickly disappeared, aiw. In anticipation of that, I took a screencap with my phone, but I'm too dumb to figure out how to post it.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Chat users

  • No one is chatting at the moment.

Chat rooms

  • General chit-chat 0

Forum statistics

Threads
1,065
Messages
424,269
Members
624
Latest member
Bluegrass Blue Devil
Back
Top Bottom