What do we all think about Maryland next year? I've posted several times on TDD why I think they are being overrated by virtually everyone. They were the second-luckiest team in the nation last year, suffering several blowout losses and winning a disproportionate amount of their close games. Their tournament performance wasn't encouraging either as they barely squeaked by Valpo then lost by double-digits to a mediocre West Virginia team because no one on their team could dribble after Trimble got hurt. They bring in transfer Robert Carter from Georgia Tech (101 Offensive rating on 24% usage, top 10 defensive rebounder in the country in 2014) and top 10 recruit Diamond Stone, a back-to-the-basket center who doesn't exactly project to have the impact of Jahlil Okafor or Karl-Anthony Towns.
On the other hand, they bring back all positive contributors from last season. They are free from the oppressive impact of the high-usage, low-efficiency Duke-killer Dez Wells and the general shittiness of Evan Smotrycz, which should free up more looks for the likes of Trimble, the enigmatic senior Jake Layman, and the sharpshooting sophomore wing Jared Nickens. If the offensive is centered around these three guys instead of the two fat guys down low, Maryland has a chance to have a very elite offense, after finishing a surprisingly low 58th in the country this year.
Defense, where the Terps finished at a respectable 40th this season, is a big question. I have no idea if Diamond Stone will play any D, but based on what I've seen I think he may be more like Okafor than Towns on that side of the ball. Losing seniors Dez Wells and Richaud Pack should hurt on the perimeter as well. Basically, if Stone can defend the rim and Robert Carter can suck up defensive rebounds the way he did at Georgia Tech, then Maryland might be able to scrape together an acceptable defense for a contender.
Upon further review, I still think Maryland's status as an early title favorite is incredibly optimistic. If Diamond Stone is as good as his ranking suggests and the subtraction of Wells frees up what would've been an elite offense last year, then maybe the Terps can make some noise in March. As it is right now, I'd have them closer to the 12-15 range.