deepdarkblue
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
Is that your professional opinion?
Is that your professional opinion?
Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/20
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DrKlahn
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
My take on UNC is, I think Duke's personnel is probably better, or no worse than even, but the problem is that UNC's best strategy is the one thing Roy is actually good at--run all the time, constantly sub players in and out, and drive up the possession count.
My take on UNC is, I think Duke's personnel is probably better, or no worse than even, but the problem is that UNC's best strategy is the one thing Roy is actually good at--run all the time, constantly sub players in and out, and drive up the possession count.
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
Duke is a 5-point underdog at UNC. No delay on the opening line. No Amile.
Duke is a 5-point underdog at UNC. No delay on the opening line. No Amile.
childress22
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
As long as we try a zone that is not the 1-3-1 or 2-3 that we've played the most, I'm for zone. But we've got to do something geared toward protecting the lane. Those two zones, with Ingram mostly top, have good three-point coverage but always result in Plumlee covering two guys. In this case, that's like Johnson/Meeks or Johnson/Hicks, and Johnson can nail the 8-footer or pass to the other guy for dunks all day.
As long as we try a zone that is not the 1-3-1 or 2-3 that we've played the most, I'm for zone. But we've got to do something geared toward protecting the lane. Those two zones, with Ingram mostly top, have good three-point coverage but always result in Plumlee covering two guys. In this case, that's like Johnson/Meeks or Johnson/Hicks, and Johnson can nail the 8-footer or pass to the other guy for dunks all day.
StopThePumpFakesShav
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
Up to 5.5. But seems low. I'd take UNC.
Up to 5.5. But seems low. I'd take UNC.
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
Line has already moved as much as 2 points in UNC's favor. Currently UNC by 6.5 or 7 depending on the sportsbook. They really couldn't set this line high enough. People seem to have a good grasp of what's about to happen here.
Line has already moved as much as 2 points in UNC's favor. Currently UNC by 6.5 or 7 depending on the sportsbook. They really couldn't set this line high enough. People seem to have a good grasp of what's about to happen here.
physicsfactor
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
The strategy for this game seems simple. Run the clock down and shoot threes, and then token tempo press into packline.
The strategy for this game seems simple. Run the clock down and shoot threes, and then token tempo press into packline.
StopThePumpFakesShav
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
Paige and Johnson are a career 1-5 against Duke. They could easily be 0-6 if we didn't piss away that Chapel Hill game in '14 (but to be fair, we almost lost last year's Cameron game). Just feels like, as I believe SMTTEM noted earlier, a classic "take out the years of frustration against Duke failures game" where they win relatively easily.
Paige and Johnson are a career 1-5 against Duke. They could easily be 0-6 if we didn't piss away that Chapel Hill game in '14 (but to be fair, we almost lost last year's Cameron game). Just feels like, as I believe SMTTEM noted earlier, a classic "take out the years of frustration against Duke failures game" where they win relatively easily.
physicsfactor
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
Senior night? Is UNC closing the regular season with 5 straight road games?
Senior night? Is UNC closing the regular season with 5 straight road games?
deepdarkblue
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
rhfarmer said:
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
Synergy posted some numbers on the game: http://corp.synergysportstech.com/page3 ... tingReport
Duke should basically take exclusively spot up 3s all night
Synergy posted some numbers on the game: http://corp.synergysportstech.com/page3 ... tingReport
Duke should basically take exclusively spot up 3s all night
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
Not sure if it's because work was cancelled Monday so it doesn't feel like Wednesday, or I have no expectations for this game at all (a non-blowout loss doesn't matter), but it doesn't feel like a Duke/UNC day to me.
Not sure if it's because work was cancelled Monday so it doesn't feel like Wednesday, or I have no expectations for this game at all (a non-blowout loss doesn't matter), but it doesn't feel like a Duke/UNC day to me.
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
Echoing what some have already said here, on offense, I would like to see Duke take a ton of 3s, preferably late in the shot clock after standing around and resting for 20+ seconds. Try to make this a 60 possession game to limit fatigue and chances to foul. Get back on defense instead of going for offensive rebounds.
Duke may not make their 3s tonight, in which case they'll get blown out playing like that, but they were going to lose if they weren't making their 3s anyway. If they're making their 3s, obviously they should win playing like that. I hope Thornton shows his best side tonight. The other guys have already shown they're fine with this approach in a few other games this season.
Echoing what some have already said here, on offense, I would like to see Duke take a ton of 3s, preferably late in the shot clock after standing around and resting for 20+ seconds. Try to make this a 60 possession game to limit fatigue and chances to foul. Get back on defense instead of going for offensive rebounds.
Duke may not make their 3s tonight, in which case they'll get blown out playing like that, but they were going to lose if they weren't making their 3s anyway. If they're making their 3s, obviously they should win playing like that. I hope Thornton shows his best side tonight. The other guys have already shown they're fine with this approach in a few other games this season.
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Re: Louisville 2/8, Virginia 2/13, @UNC 2/17, @Louisville 2/
Moneyline is implying Duke has a 27% chance to win this game. Basically a 27% chance of going off from 3, like 14-30 3pt.
Moneyline is implying Duke has a 27% chance to win this game. Basically a 27% chance of going off from 3, like 14-30 3pt.